Kherson is strategically important for russians / photo
Kherson is strategically important for russians / photo

The Russians have been pulling their forces south in recent weeks, sacrificing a broad offensive in the east. Currently, about 30 battalion tactical groups (BTGr) are concentrated in the Kherson and Zaporizhia regions, amounting to about 22 thousand people, which, most likely, is not the final figure.

This is stated in the material of RBC-Ukraine.

Analysts and experts interviewed by the publication believe that the occupiers may go on the attack, trying to advance to Mykolaiv Oblast or Kryvyi Rih. No matter where the russian troops go, there are big questions about the prospects of their plan.

Thanks to long-range artillery and HIMARS systems, our defenders keep the main crossings from the left to the right bank under fire control. This greatly complicates the transfer of reinforcements and ammunition for the occupiers.

The Armed Forces of Ukraine “perforated” the two most important bridges – Antonivsky Automobile Bridge and Antonivskyi Zaliznychny Bridge – it is now impossible to carry out transportation over them. Another bridge in the village of Dar’ivka, which leads through Ingulets from Novaya Kakhovka to Kherson, was destroyed.

The occupiers want to save the situation by building ferry crossings. But they are also an easy target for our troops. It is enough to hit only one of the building elements to disable it.

Military expert Oleg Zhdanov believes that as soon as the enemy finishes transferring troops to the Right Bank, the Armed Forces of Ukraine will cut off their logistics and take under fire control the hastily constructed new crossings. Without regular supplies of ammunition and fuel, this group will be doomed.

“It is unlikely that they will start on August 5, as previously announced, the dates of August 6-8 have already been announced. That is, they are still hesitating: to attack or sit down on the defensive. If they do go on the offensive, then everything they have collected will be enough for about a week battles. And if we also disrupt their supplies, then maybe even less”, – the expert clarified.

He is sure that the 22,000 soldiers that the enemy has transferred to the Southern Front will not be enough for a large-scale offensive. Such a number of manpower, according to the postulates of military science, cannot even be called a group. This is a reinforced army corps, which under normal standards can make one operation up to 100 kilometers. And it’s lossless. And the aggressor will have them in this direction, and certainly quite a lot.

“I think that the attack of russian soldiers will end before it has even begun, because the combat work of Ukrainian artillerymen will bear fruit. Even despite such resources – 30 BTGr – plus they continue to accumulate reserves there – and Zaporizhzhia, and Mykolaiv, and Kryvyi Rih are seriously fortified. Therefore, the russians may try to do something, but it is not a fact that they will succeed”, – clarified the ex-head of the press service of the General Staff, Colonel of the Armed Forces of Ukraine Vladyslav Seleznyov.

Earlier it became known that russia seems to have decided to adjust its plans for an offensive operation in Donbas, feeling the need to strengthen the group in the south.